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Introduction

The wireline broadband access equipment forecast covers equipment volumes (ports for PON and xDSL and channels for CMTS/CCAP), ASPs, and revenue for PON, xDSL + Gfast, and CMTS/CCAP.

Highlights

  • PON equipment continues to drive the forecast, with a CAGR of 3.6% from 2019 to 2024. PON equipment revenue is forecast to approach $8.1bn in 2023.
  • Total xDSL+Gfast equipment revenue is forecast to decline further, with a CAGR of -5.7% from 2019 to 2024, even though Gfast equipment revenue increases.
  • CMTS/CCAP equipment revenue is forecast to remain strong, reaching $1.2bn in 2024 with a CAGR of 2.4% from 2019.

Features and Benefits

  • Summarizes the detailed wireline access equipment market forecast, which covers fiber-based, copper-based, and coax-based equipment for each major region, subregion, and China.
  • Assesses the major shift toward next-gen PON, encompassing 10G GPON, 10G EPON, NG-PON, and 25G/50G PON.
  • Analyzes the shift toward CMTS/CCAP 3.1 and next-gen DOCSIS, including Full Duplex DOCSIS 3.1 and Extended Spectrum.

Key questions answered

  • What is the outlook for PON equipment by type and by region? When will next-gen PON equipment represent over 50% of revenues and ports? Which regions are leading the upgrades?
  • What is the outlook for WDM PON for 5G transport applications? How large is the market opportunity?
  • What will be the adoption rate for next-gen CMTS/CCAP? Where will next-gen CMTS/CCAP dominate?
  • Will Gfast equipment offset the decline in xDSL equipment? Which regions are adopting Gfast?
  • Will China's dominant consumption of PON equipment abate over time? What happens in other regions regarding consumption of PON equipment?

Table of contents

Summary

  • Introduction
  • Download 1: Wireline Broadband Access Equipment Forecast (PON, xDSL + Gfast, CMTS/CCAP): 2019–24